运用多元统计分析方法构建中医药文化传播研究现状模型-《西部中医药》

文章信息/Info

Title:: Model Construction of TCM Cultural Communication Based on Multivariate Statistical Analysis Method

Author(s):: GUAN Hongyang, LI Xin, LI Wei, ZHAO Kai, ZHANG Nan; Liaoning University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shenyang 110847, China

Keywords:: TCM cultural communication; multivariate statistical analysis; model

摘要:: 目的了解中医药文化传播的发展现状并运用多元统计模型做出预测。方法搜集整理了2008—2017年的168篇研究中医药文化传播的论文，进行曲线回归分析给出两个模型并计算出未来3年中医药文化传播论文的预测值和残差值，选择拟合效果更好的模型。结果由曲线回归分析假设检验的结果，表明建立三次函数和二次函数是合适的模型，但经过图像拟合比较三次函数模型更好。结论多元统计模型能够较好地拟合中医药文化传播期刊文献量，在中医药文化传播的发展现状预测研究中具有一定的应用价值。

Abstract:: ObjectiveTo survey the development status of TCM cultural communication and make prediction using multivariate statistical model. MethodsAll 168 papers on TCM culture communication from 2008 to 2017 were collected and analyzed, curve regression analysis was carried out to give two models, calculate the predicted value and residual value of TCM culture communication papers in the next three years, to select the model with better fitting effects. ResultsThe results of hypothesis test, analyzed by curve regression, show that cubic function and quadratic function are suitable models, but cubic function model is better than quadratic function model through image fitting. ConclusionMultivariate statistical model can better fit the literature quantity of TCM culture communication journals, and it has a certain application value in the prediction of the development status of TCM culture communication.